Yep, the more I think about it.... The more it seems to be a prop issue. I've been stuck on the engine and carbs, rave valves. I'm gonna repair the water valve and then I'm gonna look at the prop. Now that I'm thinking about it... the cguy I purchased this ski from told me his dad ran the ski on some rocks and damaged the drive shaft. That would mean the propeller as well. This makes me question the prop he put on there. The wear ring Looked pretty new so I didn't mess with that end.
If the original color of the 98 engine was white that's the problematic engine, the 99 and up are silver-grey. Like I said in the beginning, I think your pop-off is a little high. The pulse (pulse is alternating pressure/vacuum) runs the fuel pumps, fuel pumps supply fuel to the carbs to go faster, going faster makes higher pulse (higher vacuum/ higher pressure) which allows more fuel to start the whole process at the next level of rpm, and if your pop-off is a little too high it stumbles along very slowly getting a few more rpm and in turn allowing a little more fuel till finally it takes off. I went through the same thing learning with a 94 650XP. Put on aftermarket flame arrestors and if I nailed it nothing would happen because the lower restriction arresters didn't allow the engine to get fuel, as the piston goes down on intake it pulls air, with less intake restriction it's easier for air to go by the arrestors than it is for that air to pull on the fuel pump diaphragm, but if I'd feather it, give a little throttle and back off a tiny bit and now I'm making more intake restriction with the throttle butterfly plates and the XP would take off quicker. I bet you put it on the hose and give it the smallest amount of throttle to raise rpm and it will rev since there's no load on the engine, therefore for the same throttle setting as in the water it will make a higher rpm out of the water with no load. I learned that when I gave it throttle and you feel it start to fall on it's face to quickly back off and then repeat with some throttle but backing off just when you think it's going to stumble and it would take off. And I had set the pop-off to what I was told is stock. My 785 XP with the big 46mm Buckshots will literally will launch when you stab the throttle and my pop-off is in the 12-13lb range. You tried everything else, just drop yor pop-off a couple lbs from where it was when you started. You never said what size N&S you used and what size was in it originally, Needle and seat size works together with spring size on pop-off, the N&S is what the pop-off spring tries to keep closed and fuel pressure (from the pulse operating fuel pump) is what tries to open the N&S. Sorry for the length, just trying to explain it from every angle. Remember, low pulse = low fuel pressure, low fuel pressure and less N&S opening, less opening = less rpm building, like a dog chasing it's tail, pop-off is set to gives just a little more fuel to go but low enough when throttle released the fuel shuts off preventing engine flooding. Jut try lower pop-off. Don't forget, what was and is the N&S size.... Lee